The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb

The Black Swan

By Nassim Nicholas Taleb

  • Release Date: 2008-04-03
  • Genre: Philosophy
Score: 3.5
3.5
From 82 Ratings
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Description

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.

Reviews

  • A horribly boring read

    1
    By Psidian
    This must be one of the most overhyped books of the last decade. The idea is simple: unexpected happens and you cannot be possibly prepared for it. This is a very old observation and probably it the reason people everywhere have been praying to their god(s) since time immemorial. Taleb deep down wants to be taken seriously, but is simultaneously contemptuous of his readers.
  • Frustrating read

    2
    By hornblower2
    Whilst Taleb has plenty of interesting things to say the experience is ruined by the 'brain dump' style of the narrative. A great pity.

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